Embracing a new playbook: How data-driven decisions can change the conversation in local races
March 13, 2013 | Stefan Hankin
In the post-analysis of the 2012 election there has been a lot of credit given to the Obama campaign for its use of capturing and mining data to help increase the turnout operation. Additionally, the new take on where and when to buy ads has been heralded as a new model for the future.
All of this credit is well deserved and should be discussed, looked at and adapted. However, what is getting less attention is how changes are happening in the campaign world on races where budget decisions are a lot tougher, personnel resources are less abundant and you actually have to work to get any earned media. More>>
Lincoln Park Strategies’ Latest Take on Topics of the Day
Click here to read our views on items in the news in Politico’s Arena.
Elsewhere In the News:
Obama’s Minimum-Wage Gambit Puts Republicans on Defensive
February 18, 2013 | The Daily Beast
The president’s surprise call for an increase to $9 an hour in the State of the Union has the GOP on the wrong end of popular opinion again. More>>
British Parliamentary System Comes to US
November 13, 2012 | Politix
We might have thought we were participating in one of America’s greatest democratic traditions by voting for an individual to be president on November 6. In reality, we further cemented our country’s transition to a defacto British parliamentary system that would make the Founding Fathers turn over in their graves. More>>
Success Through Targeting Campaigning
November 9, 2012 | Bangor Daily News
It’s likely that Maine Democrats — and other players in Maine’s 2012 legislative elections — learned a key lesson about campaign spending from the 2010 election cycle. They applied what they learned this year, when Democrats reversed the results of two years ago and took decisive control of both legislative chambers. More>>
The Nuclear Arms Race in Presidential Politics
November 4, 2012 | CTV News
Stefan Hankin and John Feehery discuss the nuclear arms race in presidential politics on CTV’s Question Period. More>>
Poll: Overwhelming Majority of American Voters Support Social Security Disability Insurance Benefits Program
October 11, 2012 | PRNewswire
A new poll, conducted by Lincoln Park Strategies, finds the vast majority of likely voters support Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) benefits and believe that Congress should target other areas of the government when proposing cuts to balance the federal budget. More>>
Candidates should listen to Coloradans’ views on energy policy
September 28, 2012 | Stefan Hankin
Nowhere is the myth of “extremism as the norm” more contradicted than in Colorado, a swing state hailed by many pundits as the key to the White House door. If candidates insist on seeing a sharply divided America, neither will do well here. To win, they must begin using real data and start speaking about policy issues in a way that respects the nuanced views of Coloradans. More>>
Maryland gaming could hurt same-sex marriage
August 8, 2012 | ABC 7 News
As referendums on same-sex marriage and gaming are both on the ballot in Maryland in November, it’s possible that just having gaming on the ballot could help opponents defeat same sex marriage. More>>
Will the Wisconsin recall foreshadow November?
June 4, 2012 | Stefan Hankin
The recall election of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) has Democrats and Republicans in Washington keeping their fingers crossed for a team victory and a good week of talking points. Both parties have tried to package this election as a forecast of what’s to come in November. But is it really an accurate measure? Probably not, given recent history. More>>
Analysis: Not Courting Minorities May Doom GOP
May 10, 2012 | Reid Wilson
If recent electoral and population trends hold, Democrats need only wait a few presidential election cycles until they begin every White House contest as clear, eventually even overwhelming, favorites, says Reid Wilson from National Journal based on Lincoln Park Strategies’ recent projections memo. More>>
Lincoln Park Strategies’ Coverage of the GOP Nomination
The 2012 election cycle is in full gear, and as the GOP nomination contest takes shape, Lincoln Park Strategies’ Founder and President Stefan Hankin has been at the crux of the media analysis of the early primary and caucus results. Click here to read our analysis of the results from Iowa to New Hampshire to South Carolina and beyond. More>>
How Over-Regulation Could Risk the President’s Reelection
January 19, 2012 | Stefan Hankin
While we are months away from the 2012 elections, some things are already clear. First, the White House and Congress are in play for both parties. Second, barring any large national security event, the biggest issues in the upcoming election will be jobs and the economy. Third, it is increasingly evident that Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee for president. More>>
Most Americans Against Replacing Dollar Bill With Coin, Poll Says
October 19, 2011| Harry Bradford
Given the choice, Americans still prefer crisp bills to shiny coins.
A lawmaker recently introduced legislation to abandon the paper dollar bill and replace it with a dollar coin, but it looks like most Americans are happy with their currency the way it is. More>>
A cloudy forecast for 2012
September 13, 2011 | Ruth Marcus
The word clouds tell the story — and illustrate the challenges ahead for both sides.
“TRYING,” says the cloud illustrating swing voters’ assessment of President Obama. And then, ominously: “liberal” and “ineffective.”
“STUBBORN,” says the cloud illustrating these voters’ view of congressional Republicans. Followed by “conservative,” “selfish,” “greedy” and — the one unabashedly positive phrase among the top 10 — “trying.” More>>
Poll: ‘Gaping divide’ between Democrats and ‘switchers’
September 13, 2011 | Aamer Madhani
President Obama is lagging behind Republicans in the chase for political moderate voters in 12 battleground states, according to a new poll by the centrist Democratic group Third Way. More>>
Labor unions: the latest moves to empower or weaken them
July 6, 2011 | Mark Trumbull
The Obama administration is showing support for labor unions, while some states, like Wisconsin, work to strip some of their key powers. If the job market continues to weaken, could Obama’s support for unions hinder his reelection campaign? More>>
Democrats Try to Crack Mystery of the Missing Voters
November 23, 2010 | Gerald F. Seib
A popular theory of this year’s midterm election holds that Democrats took a shellacking in part because big chunks of the party’s core liberal base, discouraged at the path of the Obama administration, stayed home rather than show up to vote as they did in 2008.
It’s an interesting narrative. It also doesn’t appear to be entirely accurate. More>>
Poll: Non-voters split over Barack Obama
November 17, 2010 | James Hohmann
As President Barack Obama charts a course to keep the White House in 2012, he’s getting conflicting signals from some of the people who helped him get there in the first place.
Voters who backed Obama in 2008 — but didn’t vote during the 2010 midterms — are divided over whether the president should have steered further to the center or governed more to the left, according to a poll being released Thursday by the moderate think tank Third Way. More>>
Gutierrez mayoral poll: viable contender, torn about leaving Congress
October 12, 2010 | Lynn Sweet
A poll Rep. Luis Gutierrez (D-Ill.) commissioned to test the waters for a Chicago mayoral run shows he is very viable — and the favorite of Hispanic voters — but as of Monday night Gutierrez was torn over running or staying in Congress and leading the fight for immigration reform. More>>
Default isn’t an option- for debt or Democrats
April 26, 2011 | Ryan McConaghy and Stefan Hankin
Last week, the sound of Wisconsin town hall attendees booing House Budget Committee Chairman Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) was music to progressives’ ears.
The booing wasn’t undeserved – Chairman Ryan’s proposed budget would have disastrous consequences, and caters to the ideological purists on the right by ending Medicare as we know it and asking nothing from the wealthiest on taxes. However, progressives should pause before they consider opposition to the Ryan budget to be enough to carry the deficit debate. A quick look at some key insights from last year’s election shows that default isn’t an option – on U.S. debt or for Democratic political victory. More>>
Size Matters? How to pick your Pollster
August 23, 2010 | Stefan Hankin
A crucial first step for every political campaign is deciding on the consultants that will help guide their candidate to victory. More>>
Who really abandoned the Dems?
November 18, 2010 | Anne Kim and Stefan Hankin
Conventional wisdom is hardening on two fronts in the aftermath of the election—among Democrats about how to regain power and among Republicans about what to do with it.
Many Democrats argue, and now believe, that disenchanted liberal base voters were the ones who stayed home and that this election was a referendum on the economy. Many Republicans, on the other hand, now believe their own press about a definitive, albeit tea party-tinged, mandate.
Conventional wisdom, it turns out, is wrong. More>>